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Traders placed over $1bn in perfectly timed bets on the Iran war. What is going on?

Suspicious wagers on the US-Israel war in Iran are creating huge windfalls and raising concerns among lawmakers

Sixteen bets made $100,000 accurately predicting the timing of the US.. - source: The Guardian - 18.04.2026


‘It’s a twilight zone’: Iran war casts deep shadows over IMF gathering in Washington

Rachel Reeves joins global finance chiefs in highlighting how households and businesses are feeling the pain of higher energy prices

Middle East crisis – live updates

The most.. - source: The Guardian - 18.04.2026


Wheat price heading for biggest jump in two months as Iran war threatens to drive food security higher – business live

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news

Cuts to overseas aid will worsen shocks to global economy, David Miliband says

Cuts to overseas aid by countries including.. - source: The Guardian - 17.04.2026


Cuts to overseas aid will worsen shocks to global economy, David Miliband says

Exclusive: Former UK foreign secretary says poor and rich countries alike will be hit amid humanitarian crisis sparked by Iran war

Cuts to overseas aid by countries including the US and the.. - source: The Guardian - 17.04.2026


Ukraine war briefing: €90bn EU loan for Ukraine to be released in second quarter

EU economy commissioner says Iran war is feeding Russia’s war machine; Trump condemns massive strikes on Ukraine. What we know on day 1,513

The EU expects to start releasing a new €90bn.. - source: The Guardian - 17.04.2026


UK economy showed surprise 0.5% growth before Iran war

ONS figure for February suggests Britain was gaining momentum before conflict dashed hopes of recovery

UK GDP expanded by a stronger than expected 0.5% in February, official figures show,.. - source: The Guardian - 16.04.2026


Senate Democrats move to stall Trump’s ‘absurd’ bid to install new Fed chair

Democratic lawmakers urged Republican leaders to postpone the confirmation hearing of Kevin Warsh

Sign up for the Breaking News US email to get newsletter alerts in your.. - source: The Guardian - 16.04.2026


February GDP report to show if UK economy was growing before Iran war began – business live

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news

Economic growth in China has accelerated in the last quarter, in an encouraging start to the year for Beijing.

China’s.. - source: The Guardian - 16.04.2026


Wall Street scales fresh record high as investors bet on end of Iran war

The S&P breached 7,000 points for the first time in history, in a rally that erased stark losses incurred at start of war

Wall Street scaled a fresh all-time high on Wednesday amid.. - source: The Guardian - 15.04.2026


US jury finds Live Nation and Ticketmaster subsidiary operated monopoly

Verdict in states’ lawsuit says concert giant stifled competition, raising pressure for changes to ticketing market

A jury has found that concert giant Live Nation and its Ticketmaster.. - source: The Guardian - 15.04.2026


Economic shock from Iran war risks driving up global debt levels, says IMF

Conflict is pushing up price of energy and food, fuelling higher borrowing costs and hitting growth, report says

Iran war escalation could trigger global recession, IMF warns

The Iran.. - source: The Guardian - 15.04.2026


Trump threatens to fire Fed chair Jerome Powell amid pressure campaign

US president says he has ‘held back’ on firing the head of the Federal Reserve leading up to end of Powell’s term in May

Sign up for the Breaking News US email to get newsletter.. - source: The Guardian - 15.04.2026


How the US-Israel war on Iran is affecting African economies

For some, the impact is already being felt but others remain in limbo over their energy security and are hostage to an unlikely de-escalation

Don’t get The Long Wave delivered to your.. - source: The Guardian - 15.04.2026


US taxpayers spend hundreds more on military as Trump pushes for vast increase

As Americans race to file their federal taxes before today’s deadline, new analysis breaks down where the money goes

Sign up for the Breaking News US email to get newsletter alerts in.. - source: The Guardian - 15.04.2026


Stock markets recovering Iran war losses amid peace deal hopes; Reeves and Bessent to meet at IMF – business live

Rolling coverage of the latest economic and financial news

Middle East crisis live: US claims blockade has ‘completely halted economic trade’ into Iran, as Trump hints at return to.. - source: The Guardian - 15.04.2026


IMF says strait of Hormuz closure raises prospect of ‘major energy crisis’ – video

The International Monetary Fund is forecasting a range of possible global economic scenarios due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East. IMF’s chief economist, Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas,.. - source: The Guardian - 15.04.2026


UK steel exports to EU at risk as bloc doubles tariffs and halves quotas

Decision to reduce duty-free quotas by 47% aimed at curbing Chinese imports

The EU is to go ahead with plans to double tariffs and halve quotas on imports of steel from July, in a move.. - source: The Guardian - 14.04.2026


Iran war escalation could trigger global recession, IMF warns

Growth forecasts cut for US and global economy, while UK suffers sharpest downgrade in G7

Reeves arrives at IMF with little leeway to prove its UK downgrade wrong

A further escalation.. - source: The Guardian - 14.04.2026


Reeves arrives at IMF with little leeway to prove its UK downgrade wrong

Chancellor faced with fund’s forecast that impact of Iran war will leave Britain as G7’s biggest loser

Iran war escalation could trigger global recession, IMF warns

The Iran war.. - source: The Guardian - 14.04.2026


IMF warns ‘unprecedented’ energy crisis could trigger global recession as Australia prepares for G20 fuel talks

As treasurer Jim Chalmers weighs ‘extreme uncertainty’, one economic scenario sees global growth plunging to just 2% in 2026

Get our breaking news email, free app or daily news.. - source: The Guardian - 14.04.2026


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